Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
Resolved: Yes ✓ — May 1, 2026
Resolution source: Polymarket + Official sources
Final odds at resolution
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify. Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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This market ran on ZanoX, where forecasters take positions on real-world outcomes at crowd-set prices — the closing probability reflects what the market expected before the result was known. Resolved markets are kept as a permanent record of what prediction markets forecast. Want to forecast what happens next? Explore Geopolitics prediction markets or all live markets — non-custodial, no account, no KYC.
