What were the final odds?

At resolution, No was priced at 99% on the ZanoX prediction market.

Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30?

Q: Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30?

This prediction market resolved No on July 1, 2026, per Polymarket + Official sources.

Resolved: No ✓ — July 1, 2026

Resolution source: Polymarket + Official sources

Final odds at resolution

Yes

No ✓ won

99%

This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the identity of Satoshi Nakamoto, the pseudonymous creator or creators of Bitcoin, is definitively proven between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'. The resolution source for this market will be definitive evidence confirming the identity of Satoshi Nakamoto, such as a transfer from one of the original Satoshi wallets. However, a credible consensus of reporting will also be used.

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About resolved prediction markets

This market ran on ZanoX, where forecasters take positions on real-world outcomes at crowd-set prices — the closing probability reflects what the market expected before the result was known. Resolved markets are kept as a permanent record of what prediction markets forecast. Want to forecast what happens next? Explore Economics prediction markets or all live markets — non-custodial, no account, no KYC.