Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Resolved: No ✓ — May 31, 2026
Resolution source: Polymarket + Official sources
Final odds at resolution
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
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This market ran on ZanoX, where forecasters take positions on real-world outcomes at crowd-set prices — the closing probability reflects what the market expected before the result was known. Resolved markets are kept as a permanent record of what prediction markets forecast. Want to forecast what happens next? Explore Politics prediction markets or all live markets — non-custodial, no account, no KYC.