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Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?

Yes
3%
No
97%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Territory under the administration of the Republic of China, including any inhabited islands, will qualify; however, uninhabited islands will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

  • Status: Open for trading
  • Resolves by: September 30, 2026

How this prediction market works

This is an on-chain prediction market on ZanoX. You forecast the outcome by taking a position in Yes or No at the current market price; each correct share settles at full value when the market resolves. Prices move with the crowd, and you can exit any time before resolution. Settlement happens on the Zano blockchain — non-custodial, no account, no KYC.

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