Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) for any amount of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market. If a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.
- Status: Open for trading
- Resolves by: June 30, 2026
How this prediction market works
This is an on-chain prediction market on ZanoX. You forecast the outcome by taking a position in Yes or No at the current market price; each correct share settles at full value when the market resolves. Prices move with the crowd, and you can exit any time before resolution. Settlement happens on the Zano blockchain — non-custodial, no account, no KYC.
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