Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemeni soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM Israeli local time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes"). Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
- Status: Open for trading
- Resolves by: June 30, 2026
How this prediction market works
This is an on-chain prediction market on ZanoX. You forecast the outcome by taking a position in Yes or No at the current market price; each correct share settles at full value when the market resolves. Prices move with the crowd, and you can exit any time before resolution. Settlement happens on the Zano blockchain — non-custodial, no account, no KYC.
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