Resolved Technology Prediction Markets
What did the markets expect — and what actually happened? This is the permanent record of resolved technology prediction markets on ZanoX: each entry links to the full result page with the verified outcome, resolution date and source, and the final odds at close. Prediction-market prices double as crowd probability estimates, so this archive shows how well the crowd forecast technology events.
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Latest resolutions
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30? — resolved No · Jul 1, 2026
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? — resolved No · Jul 1, 2026
- Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026? — resolved No · Jul 1, 2026
- Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30? — resolved No · Jul 1, 2026
- Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? — resolved No · Jul 1, 2026
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? — resolved No · Jul 1, 2026
- Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? — resolved No · Jun 30, 2026
- Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? — resolved No · Jun 30, 2026
- Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? — resolved No · Jun 30, 2026
- Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? — resolved No · Jun 30, 2026
- Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? — resolved No · Jun 30, 2026
- Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? — resolved No · Jun 30, 2026
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? — resolved No · Jun 30, 2026
- Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? — resolved No · Jun 30, 2026
- Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? — resolved No · Jun 30, 2026
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? — resolved No · Jun 23, 2026
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 30? — resolved Yes · Jun 22, 2026
- Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman? — resolved No · Jun 19, 2026
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 15? — resolved No · Jun 16, 2026
- Israel closes its airspace by June 15? — resolved No · Jun 16, 2026
- Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? — resolved Yes · Jun 15, 2026
- Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? — resolved No · Jun 15, 2026
- Spread: Spain (-2.5) — resolved Cabo Verde · Jun 15, 2026
- Spread: Spain (-1.5) — resolved Cabo Verde · Jun 15, 2026
- Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5 — resolved Under · Jun 15, 2026
- Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5 — resolved Under · Jun 15, 2026
- Spread: Spain (-3.5) — resolved Cabo Verde · Jun 15, 2026
- Grass Court Championships: Nikola Bartunkova vs Diana Shnaider — resolved Nikola Bartunkova · Jun 15, 2026
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 14? — resolved No · Jun 15, 2026
- UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card) — resolved Justin Gaethje · Jun 15, 2026
- UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card) — resolved Ciryl Gane · Jun 15, 2026
- UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card) — resolved Sean O'Malley · Jun 15, 2026
- UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card) — resolved Josh Hokit · Jun 15, 2026
- UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card) — resolved Diego Lopes · Jun 15, 2026
- Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 — resolved Under · Jun 14, 2026
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? — resolved No · Jun 12, 2026
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? — resolved No · Jun 12, 2026
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T? — resolved No · Jun 12, 2026
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? — resolved Yes · Jun 12, 2026
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T? — resolved No · Jun 12, 2026
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? — resolved Yes · Jun 12, 2026
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? — resolved Yes · Jun 12, 2026
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T? — resolved No · Jun 12, 2026
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T? — resolved No · Jun 12, 2026
- Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026? — resolved Yes · Jun 12, 2026
- Iran closes its airspace by June 30? — resolved Yes · Jun 12, 2026
- Iran closes its airspace by June 15? — resolved Yes · Jun 12, 2026
- Iran closes its airspace by June 8? — resolved Yes · Jun 12, 2026
- Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 — resolved Monte · Jun 9, 2026
- Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 2 Winner — resolved Monte · Jun 9, 2026
- Israel closes its airspace by June 8? — resolved No · Jun 9, 2026
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 — resolved paiN · Jun 8, 2026
- Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 — resolved paiN · Jun 7, 2026
- UFC Fight Night: Bryce Mitchell vs. Santiago Luna (Bantamweight, Main Card) — resolved Bryce Mitchell · Jun 7, 2026
- Counter-Strike: paiN vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 — resolved BIG · Jun 6, 2026
- Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinska — resolved Maja Chwalinska · Jun 4, 2026
- Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Diana Shnaider — resolved Diana Shnaider · Jun 3, 2026
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? — resolved No · Jun 2, 2026
- Roland Garros WTA: Madison Keys vs Diana Shnaider — resolved Diana Shnaider · Jun 1, 2026
- Iran closes its airspace by May 31? — resolved No · Jun 1, 2026
- Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026? — resolved No · Jun 1, 2026
- Israel closes its airspace by May 31? — resolved No · Jun 1, 2026
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? — resolved No · Jun 1, 2026
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? — resolved No · Jun 1, 2026
- Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? — resolved No · Jun 1, 2026
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? — resolved No · Jun 1, 2026
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? — resolved Yes · May 31, 2026
- Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? — resolved No · May 31, 2026
- Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? — resolved No · May 31, 2026
- Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? — resolved No · May 31, 2026
- Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? — resolved No · May 31, 2026
- Iran closes its airspace by May 27? — resolved No · May 31, 2026
- Roland Garros ATP: Jaime Faria vs Frances Tiafoe — resolved Frances Tiafoe · May 31, 2026
- Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? — resolved No · May 30, 2026
- Roland Garros WTA: Hailey Baptiste vs Xiyu Wang — resolved Xiyu Wang · May 27, 2026
- Iran closes its airspace by May 24? — resolved No · May 27, 2026
- Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Daniel Altmaier — resolved Felix Auger-Aliassime · May 26, 2026
- Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Rajasthan Royals — resolved Rajasthan Royals · May 24, 2026
- Iran closes its airspace by May 21? — resolved No · May 22, 2026
- Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Chennai Super Kings — resolved Gujarat Titans · May 21, 2026
- Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs paiN (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group A — resolved paiN · May 21, 2026
- Internationaux de Strasbourg: Shuai Zhang vs Emma Navarro — resolved Emma Navarro · May 21, 2026
- Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs paiN (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group A — resolved paiN · May 21, 2026
- Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Mumbai Indians — resolved Kolkata Knight Riders · May 20, 2026
- Hamburg European Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Ben Shelton — resolved Daniel Altmaier · May 19, 2026
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? — resolved No · May 19, 2026
- Iran closes its airspace by May 18? — resolved No · May 19, 2026
- Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Sunrisers Hyderabad — resolved Sunrisers Hyderabad · May 18, 2026
- Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-05-17? — resolved No · May 18, 2026
- UFC Fight Night: Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card) — resolved Arnold Allen · May 17, 2026
- UFC Fight Night: Dooho Choi vs. Daniel Santos (Featherweight, Main Card) — resolved Dooho Choi · May 17, 2026
- UFC Fight Night: Malcolm Wellmaker vs. Juan Diaz (Bantamweight, Main Card) — resolved Juan Diaz · May 17, 2026
- Iran closes its airspace by May 15? — resolved No · May 16, 2026
- Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Chennai Super Kings — resolved Lucknow Super Giants · May 15, 2026
- Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Mumbai Indians — resolved Mumbai Indians · May 14, 2026
- Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A — resolved BetBoom Team · May 14, 2026
- Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair? — resolved No · May 14, 2026
- Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair? — resolved No · May 14, 2026
- Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair? — resolved No · May 14, 2026
- Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair? — resolved No · May 14, 2026
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