Resolved Geopolitics Prediction Markets
What did the markets expect — and what actually happened? This is the permanent record of resolved geopolitics prediction markets on ZanoX: each entry links to the full result page with the verified outcome, resolution date and source, and the final odds at close. Prediction-market prices double as crowd probability estimates, so this archive shows how well the crowd forecast geopolitics events.
Want to forecast what happens next? Browse live geopolitics markets — non-custodial, no account, no KYC.
Latest resolutions
- Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30? — resolved No · Jul 1, 2026
- NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? — resolved No · Jul 1, 2026
- Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026? — resolved No · Jul 1, 2026
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? — resolved No · Jul 1, 2026
- Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026? — resolved No · Jul 1, 2026
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30? — resolved Yes · Jun 22, 2026
- Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15? — resolved No · Jun 16, 2026
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14 — resolved Yes · Jun 15, 2026
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31? — resolved Yes · Jun 15, 2026
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? — resolved Yes · Jun 15, 2026
- Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs — resolved EDward Gaming · Jun 13, 2026
- Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12? — resolved No · Jun 13, 2026
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9? — resolved No · Jun 10, 2026
- Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7? — resolved Yes · Jun 8, 2026
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3? — resolved No · Jun 4, 2026
- LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner — resolved Bilibili Gaming · Jun 3, 2026
- LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs — resolved Bilibili Gaming · Jun 3, 2026
- LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner — resolved Bilibili Gaming · Jun 3, 2026
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026? — resolved No · Jun 1, 2026
- US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? — resolved No · Jun 1, 2026
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26? — resolved No · May 26, 2026
- LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-In — resolved EDward Gaming · May 24, 2026
- LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana — resolved ThunderTalk Gaming · May 16, 2026
- Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15? — resolved Yes · May 15, 2026
- Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair? — resolved Yes · May 14, 2026
- LoL: Oh My God vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana — resolved EDward Gaming · May 13, 2026
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? — resolved Yes · May 9, 2026
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th? — resolved Yes · May 1, 2026
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st? — resolved Yes · May 1, 2026
- Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026? — resolved No · May 1, 2026
- US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? — resolved No · May 1, 2026
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? — resolved No · May 1, 2026
- Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026? — resolved No · Apr 26, 2026
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 24th? — resolved No · Apr 25, 2026
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? — resolved Yes · Apr 25, 2026
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30? — resolved Yes · Apr 25, 2026
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15? — resolved Yes · Apr 25, 2026
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? — resolved Yes · Apr 25, 2026
- Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026? — resolved No · Apr 23, 2026
- US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026? — resolved No · Apr 22, 2026
- Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026? — resolved No · Apr 22, 2026
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st? — resolved No · Apr 22, 2026
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31? — resolved Yes · Apr 21, 2026
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30? — resolved Yes · Apr 21, 2026
- Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026? — resolved No · Apr 19, 2026
- Warriors vs. Suns — resolved Suns · Apr 18, 2026
- Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 14, 2026? — resolved No · Apr 18, 2026
- Warriors vs. Suns: O/U 219.5 — resolved Under · Apr 18, 2026
- Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026? — resolved Yes · Apr 17, 2026
- Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026? — resolved Yes · Apr 16, 2026
- Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026? — resolved No · Apr 16, 2026
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? — resolved No · Apr 16, 2026
- Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026? — resolved No · Apr 16, 2026
- Warriors vs. Clippers — resolved Clippers · Apr 13, 2026
- Military action against Iran ends on April 10, 2026? — resolved No · Apr 12, 2026
- Military action against Iran ends on April 29, 2026? — resolved No · Apr 12, 2026
- Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026? — resolved Yes · Apr 12, 2026
- Military action against Iran ends on April 30, 2026? — resolved No · Apr 12, 2026
- Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026? — resolved No · Apr 12, 2026
- Military action against Iran ends on April 12, 2026? — resolved No · Apr 12, 2026
- Military action against Iran ends on April 11, 2026? — resolved No · Apr 12, 2026
- Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026? — resolved Yes · Apr 11, 2026
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? — resolved Yes · Apr 11, 2026
- LoL: LNG Esports vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana — resolved EDward Gaming · Apr 10, 2026
- Lakers vs. Warriors — resolved Lakers · Apr 10, 2026
- US x Iran ceasefire by May 31? — resolved Yes · Apr 8, 2026
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th? — resolved No · Apr 8, 2026
- US x Iran ceasefire by December 31? — resolved Yes · Apr 8, 2026
- US x Iran ceasefire by June 30? — resolved Yes · Apr 8, 2026
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? — resolved Yes · Apr 8, 2026
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st? — resolved No · Apr 1, 2026
- Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 23, 2026? — resolved No · Mar 30, 2026
- Warriors vs. Nuggets — resolved Nuggets · Mar 30, 2026
- Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026? — resolved Yes · Mar 28, 2026
- Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 19, 2026? — resolved No · Mar 26, 2026
- Warriors vs. Mavericks — resolved Warriors · Mar 24, 2026
- Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 18, 2026? — resolved Yes · Mar 22, 2026
- Warriors vs. Pistons — resolved Pistons · Mar 21, 2026
- Howard Bison vs. Michigan Wolverines — resolved Michigan Wolverines · Mar 20, 2026
- Warriors vs. Celtics — resolved Celtics · Mar 19, 2026
- Warriors vs. Knicks: O/U 219.5 — resolved Under · Mar 16, 2026
- Warriors vs. Knicks — resolved Knicks · Mar 16, 2026
- Timberwolves vs. Warriors — resolved Timberwolves · Mar 14, 2026
- Warriors vs. Jazz — resolved Jazz · Mar 10, 2026
- Warriors vs. Thunder — resolved Thunder · Mar 8, 2026
- Warriors vs. Thunder: O/U 220.5 — resolved Under · Mar 8, 2026
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